Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.182214 0.204160 0.227042 0.252623 0.280369 0.309495 0.342325
2025-02-02 0.158085 0.188700 0.222128 0.261144 0.305235 0.353319 0.409521
2025-02-09 0.136656 0.172550 0.213357 0.262770 0.320558 0.385574 0.463804
2025-02-16 0.121298 0.161115 0.208039 0.266709 0.337362 0.418954 0.519514
2025-02-23 0.111665 0.155152 0.208045 0.276035 0.359968 0.459036 0.583569
2025-03-02 0.098505 0.143292 0.199527 0.273818 0.367777 0.481031 0.626095
2025-03-09 0.088444 0.134313 0.193635 0.273988 0.377853 0.505401 0.671488
2025-03-16 0.079223 0.125498 0.187087 0.272527 0.385260 0.526123 0.712362
2025-03-23 0.073789 0.121335 0.186224 0.278118 0.401507 0.557960 0.767460
2025-03-30 0.067181 0.114856 0.181636 0.278217 0.410211 0.580043 0.810345
2025-04-06 0.061200 0.108734 0.177028 0.277826 0.417923 0.600693 0.851489
2025-04-13 0.055879 0.103116 0.172686 0.277396 0.425286 0.620762 0.891985
2025-04-20 0.051581 0.098911 0.170376 0.280043 0.437395 0.648037 0.943451
2025-04-27 0.049189 0.097547 0.172160 0.288575 0.457858 0.686910 1.011035
2025-05-04 0.045268 0.093296 0.169238 0.289958 0.468128 0.712070 1.060678
2025-05-11 0.042322 0.090419 0.168212 0.294001 0.482169 0.742549 1.117930
2025-05-18 0.040891 0.090044 0.171067 0.303936 0.504900 0.785400 1.192676
2025-05-25 0.037065 0.085013 0.166070 0.301487 0.509280 0.802587 1.232393
2025-06-01 0.034094 0.081259 0.162896 0.301638 0.517359 0.824975 1.279504
2025-06-08 0.031084 0.077126 0.158793 0.300047 0.522634 0.843321 1.321126
2025-06-15 0.029600 0.075837 0.159446 0.306056 0.539494 0.878483 1.386791
2025-06-22 0.027295 0.072662 0.156594 0.306158 0.547189 0.900425 1.433999
2025-06-29 0.025107 0.069498 0.153543 0.305734 0.553949 0.921004 1.479459